Last update on September 14, 2021

** Based on the data available as of September 12, 2021. Click to enlarge each image.

Replications files are available here.

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1. Basic Scenario(Emergency Declaration is in effect when number of infected people is 7000 and lifts when 1000)

gradual_Y

Source: Authors’ calculation.

2. Basic Scenario(Emergency Declaration is in effect when number of infected people is 12000 and lifts when 1000)

gradual_Y

Source: Authors’ calculation.

3. Optimistic Scenario (Emergency Declaration is in effect when number of infected people is 6000 and lifts when 1000)

gradual_Y

Source: Authors’ calculation.

4. Pessimistic Scenario (Emergency Declaration is in effect when number of infected people is 7000 and lifts when 1000)

gradual_Y

Source: Authors’ calculation.