Covid-19 and Output in Japan: Tokyo | Covid-19 and Output in Japan

Last update on February 25, 2021

** Based on the data available as of February 21, 2021. Click to enlarge each image.

Replications files are available here.

Note: We have corrected errors in the update on February 23.

For figures before the correction, [click here]

Link to other Tokyo pages:

tokyo_20210121.html	tokyo_20210126.html	tokyo_20210202.html	tokyo_20210209.html	tokyo_20210216.html
tokyo_20210302.html	tokyo_20210309.html	tokyo_20210316.html	tokyo_20210323.html	tokyo_20210330.html
tokyo_20210406.html	tokyo_20210413.html	tokyo_20210420.html	tokyo_20210427.html	tokyo_20210504.html
tokyo_20210511.html	tokyo_20210518.html	tokyo_20210525.html	tokyo_20210601.html	tokyo_20210608.html
tokyo_20210615.html	tokyo_20210622.html	tokyo_20210629.html	tokyo_20210706.html	tokyo_20210713.html
tokyo_20210720.html	tokyo_20210727.html	tokyo_20210803.html	tokyo_20210810.html	tokyo_20210817.html
tokyo_20210824.html	tokyo_20210831.html	tokyo_20210914.html	tokyo_20210928.html	tokyo_20211012.html
tokyo_20211102.html	tokyo_20220111.html	tokyo_20220118.html	tokyo_20220125.html	tokyo_20220208.html
tokyo_20220215.html	tokyo_20220222.html	tokyo_20220301.html	tokyo_20220308.html	tokyo_20220315.html
tokyo_20220322.html	tokyo_latest.html

1. Scenarios with immediate recovery of economic activity

(A) Baseline scenario

Source: Authors’ calculation.
Note: See Fujii and Nakata (2021) for a detailed discussion of the scenario.

(B) Alternative scenario

Source: Authors’ calculation.
Note: In this scenario, the effective reproduction number is assumed to be 1.3 times higher than the baseline scenario from March 22 to April 11.

2. Scenarios with gradual recovery of economic activity

(A) Baseline scenario

Source: Authors’ calculation.

(B) Alternative scenario

Source: Authors’ calculation.

3. Scenarios under various assumptions for the pace of vaccination

Source: Authors’ calculation.