Last update on May 25, 2021

** Based on the data available as of May 23, 2021. Click to enlarge each image.

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1. Scenarios with alternative criteria for lifting the state of emergency

(A) Baseline scenario

gradual_Y

Source: Authors’ calculation.

(B) Indian variant scenario

gradual_Y

Source: Authors’ calculation.

2. Vaccination prospects

(A) Baseline scenario

gradual_Y

Source: Authors’ calculation.

(B) Indian variant scenario

gradual_Y

Source: Authors’ calculation.