Last update on March 2, 2021

** Based on the data available as of February 28, 2021. Click to enlarge each image.

Replications files are available here.

Link to other Tokyo pages:

tokyo_20210121.html tokyo_20210126.html tokyo_20210202.html tokyo_20210209.html tokyo_20210216.html
tokyo_20210225.html tokyo_20210309.html tokyo_20210316.html tokyo_20210323.html tokyo_20210330.html
tokyo_20210406.html tokyo_20210413.html tokyo_20210420.html tokyo_20210427.html tokyo_20210504.html
tokyo_20210511.html tokyo_20210518.html tokyo_20210525.html tokyo_20210601.html tokyo_20210608.html
tokyo_20210615.html tokyo_20210622.html tokyo_20210629.html tokyo_20210706.html tokyo_20210713.html
tokyo_20210720.html tokyo_20210727.html tokyo_20210803.html tokyo_20210810.html tokyo_20210817.html
tokyo_20210824.html tokyo_20210831.html tokyo_20210914.html tokyo_20210928.html tokyo_20211012.html
tokyo_latest.html

1. Scenarios with immediate recovery of economic activity

(A) Baseline scenario

Tokyo_gradual_Y

Source: Authors’ calculation.
Note: See Fujii and Nakata (2021) for a detailed discussion of the scenario.

(B) Alternative scenario

Tokyo_gradual_Y

Source: Authors’ calculation.
Note: In this scenario, the effective reproduction number is assumed to be 1.3 times higher than the baseline scenario from March 22 to April 11.

2. Scenarios with gradual recovery of economic activity

(A) Baseline scenario

Tokyo_gradual_Y

Source: Authors’ calculation.

(B) Alternative scenario

Tokyo_gradual_Y

Source: Authors’ calculation.