Last update on March 9, 2021

** Based on the data available as of March 7, 2021. Click to enlarge each image.

Replications files are available here.

Link to other Saitama pages:

saitama_20210126.html saitama_20210203.html saitama_20210225.html saitama_20210302.html saitama_20210316.html
saitama_20210323.html saitama_20210330.html saitama_20210406.html saitama_20210413.html saitama_20210420.html
saitama_20210427.html saitama_20210504.html saitama_latest.html

1. Scenarios with immediate recovery of economic activity

(A) Baseline scenario

Saitama_gradual_Y

Source: Authors’ calculation.
Note: See Fujii and Nakata (2021) for a detailed discussion of the scenario.

(B) Alternative scenario

Saitama_gradual_Y

Source: Authors’ calculation.
Note: In this scenario, the effective reproduction number is assumed to be 1.3 times higher than the baseline scenario from March 22 to April 11.

2. Scenarios with gradual recovery of economic activity

(A) Baseline scenario

Saitama_gradual_Y

Source: Authors’ calculation.

(B) Alternative scenario

Saitama_gradual_Y

Source: Authors’ calculation.