Last update on February 25, 2021

** Based on the data available as of February 21, 2021. Click to enlarge each image.

Replications files are available here.

Link to other Saitama pages:

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1. Scenarios with immediate recovery of economic activity

(A) Baseline scenario

Saitama_gradual_Y

Source: Authors’ calculation.
Note: See Fujii and Nakata (2021) for a detailed discussion of the scenario.

(B) Alternative scenario

Saitama_gradual_Y

Source: Authors’ calculation.
Note: In this scenario, the effective reproduction number is assumed to be 1.3 times higher than the baseline scenario from March 22 to April 11.

2. Scenarios with gradual recovery of economic activity

(A) Baseline scenario

Saitama_gradual_Y

Source: Authors’ calculation.

(B) Alternative scenario

Saitama_gradual_Y

Source: Authors’ calculation.

3. Scenarios under various assumptions for the pace of vaccination

Saitama_gradual_Y

Source: Authors’ calculation.