Last update on February 16, 2021

** Based on the data available as of February 14, 2021. Click to enlarge each image.

Replications files are available here.

Link to other Chiba pages:

chiba_20210126.html chiba_20210202.html chiba_20210225.html chiba_20210302.html chiba_20210309.html
chiba_20210316.html chiba_20210323.html chiba_20210330.html chiba_20210406.html chiba_20210413.html
chiba_20210420.html chiba_20210427.html chiba_20210504.html chiba_latest.html

1. Scenarios with immediate recovery of economic activity

Chiba_gradual_Y

Source: Authors’ calculation.
Note: See Fujii and Nakata (2021) for a detailed discussion of the scenario.

2. Scenarios with gradual recovery of economic activity

Chiba_gradual_Y

Source: Authors’ calculation.

3. Scenarios under various assumptions for the pace of vaccination

Chiba_gradual_Y

Source: Authors’ calculation.