Last update on March 9, 2021

** Based on the data available as of March 7, 2021. Click to enlarge each image.

Replications files are available here.

Link to other Kanagawa pages:

kanagawa_20210126.html kanagawa_20210203.html kanagawa_20210225.html kanagawa_20210302.html kanagawa_20210316.html
kanagawa_20210323.html kanagawa_20210330.html kanagawa_20210406.html kanagawa_20210413.html kanagawa_20210420.html
kanagawa_20210427.html kanagawa_20210504.html kanagawa_latest.html

1. Scenarios with immediate recovery of economic activity

(A) Baseline scenario

Kanagawa_gradual_Y

Source: Authors’ calculation.
Note: See Fujii and Nakata (2021) for a detailed discussion of the scenario.

(B) Alternative scenario

Kanagawa_gradual_Y

Source: Authors’ calculation.
Note: In this scenario, the effective reproduction number is assumed to be 1.3 times higher than the baseline scenario from March 22 to April 11.

2. Scenarios with gradual recovery of economic activity

(A) Baseline scenario

Kanagawa_gradual_Y

Source: Authors’ calculation.

(B) Alternative scenario

Kanagawa_gradual_Y

Source: Authors’ calculation.