Last update on February 16, 2021

** Based on the data available as of February 14, 2021. Click to enlarge each image.

Replications files are available here.

Link to other Fukuoka pages:

fukuoka_20210225.html fukuoka_20210302.html fukuoka_20210309.html fukuoka_20210316.html fukuoka_latest.html

1. Scenarios with immediate recovery of economic activity

Fukuoka_gradual_Y

Source: Authors’ calculation. Note: See Fujii and Nakata (2021) for a detailed discussion of the scenario.

2. Scenarios with gradual recovery of economic activity

Fukuoka_gradual_Y

Source: Authors’ calculation.

3. Scenarios under various assumptions for the pace of vaccination

Fukuoka_gradual_Y

Source: Authors’ calculation.