最終アップデート：2021年2月23日
** 2月21日までのデータに基づく分析です。画像はクリックすると拡大します。
図表の作成に用いたコードやデータファイルはここからダウンロードできます。
Note: 2月23日の更新の際に使われた「年度末気の緩み」シナリオのコードに間違いが見つかり、今回の更新ではその修正をしました。修正前と修正後を比較すると、分析1(B)と分析2(B)に関して、定性的な違いはありませんが定量的な違いが多少あります。大変申し訳ございません。
修正後の図表は[ここをクリック]
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- make a new row and set counter = 0 -->
<tr>
<!-- make a new cell with a link to the page and increase the number of counter -->
<td><a href="tokyo_20210121.html">tokyo_20210121.html</a></td>
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- make a new row and set counter = 0 -->
<!-- make a new cell with a link to the page and increase the number of counter -->
<td><a href="tokyo_20210126.html">tokyo_20210126.html</a></td>
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- make a new row and set counter = 0 -->
<!-- make a new cell with a link to the page and increase the number of counter -->
<td><a href="tokyo_20210202.html">tokyo_20210202.html</a></td>
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- make a new row and set counter = 0 -->
<!-- make a new cell with a link to the page and increase the number of counter -->
<td><a href="tokyo_20210209.html">tokyo_20210209.html</a></td>
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- make a new row and set counter = 0 -->
<!-- make a new cell with a link to the page and increase the number of counter -->
<td><a href="tokyo_20210216.html">tokyo_20210216.html</a></td>
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
</tr>
<!-- make a new row and set counter = 0 -->
<tr>
<!-- make a new cell with a link to the page and increase the number of counter -->
<td><a href="tokyo_20210225.html">tokyo_20210225.html</a></td>
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- make a new row and set counter = 0 -->
<!-- make a new cell with a link to the page and increase the number of counter -->
<td><a href="tokyo_20210302.html">tokyo_20210302.html</a></td>
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- make a new row and set counter = 0 -->
<!-- make a new cell with a link to the page and increase the number of counter -->
<td><a href="tokyo_20210303.html">tokyo_20210303.html</a></td>
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- make a new row and set counter = 0 -->
<!-- make a new cell with a link to the page and increase the number of counter -->
<td><a href="tokyo_20210309.html">tokyo_20210309.html</a></td>
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- make a new row and set counter = 0 -->
<!-- make a new cell with a link to the page and increase the number of counter -->
<td><a href="tokyo_20210316.html">tokyo_20210316.html</a></td>
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
</tr>
<!-- make a new row and set counter = 0 -->
<tr>
<!-- make a new cell with a link to the page and increase the number of counter -->
<td><a href="tokyo_20210319.html">tokyo_20210319.html</a></td>
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- make a new row and set counter = 0 -->
<!-- make a new cell with a link to the page and increase the number of counter -->
<td><a href="tokyo_20210323.html">tokyo_20210323.html</a></td>
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- make a new row and set counter = 0 -->
<!-- make a new cell with a link to the page and increase the number of counter -->
<td><a href="tokyo_20210330.html">tokyo_20210330.html</a></td>
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- make a new row and set counter = 0 -->
<!-- make a new cell with a link to the page and increase the number of counter -->
<td><a href="tokyo_20210406.html">tokyo_20210406.html</a></td>
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- make a new row and set counter = 0 -->
<!-- make a new cell with a link to the page and increase the number of counter -->
<td><a href="tokyo_20210413.html">tokyo_20210413.html</a></td>
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
</tr>
<!-- make a new row and set counter = 0 -->
<tr>
<!-- make a new cell with a link to the page and increase the number of counter -->
<td><a href="tokyo_20210420.html">tokyo_20210420.html</a></td>
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- make a new row and set counter = 0 -->
<!-- make a new cell with a link to the page and increase the number of counter -->
<td><a href="tokyo_20210427.html">tokyo_20210427.html</a></td>
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- make a new row and set counter = 0 -->
<!-- make a new cell with a link to the page and increase the number of counter -->
<td><a href="tokyo_20210504.html">tokyo_20210504.html</a></td>
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- make a new row and set counter = 0 -->
<!-- make a new cell with a link to the page and increase the number of counter -->
<td><a href="tokyo_20210511.html">tokyo_20210511.html</a></td>
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- make a new row and set counter = 0 -->
<!-- make a new cell with a link to the page and increase the number of counter -->
<td><a href="tokyo_20210518.html">tokyo_20210518.html</a></td>
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
</tr>
<!-- make a new row and set counter = 0 -->
<tr>
<!-- make a new cell with a link to the page and increase the number of counter -->
<td><a href="tokyo_20210525.html">tokyo_20210525.html</a></td>
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- make a new row and set counter = 0 -->
<!-- make a new cell with a link to the page and increase the number of counter -->
<td><a href="tokyo_20210601.html">tokyo_20210601.html</a></td>
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- make a new row and set counter = 0 -->
<!-- make a new cell with a link to the page and increase the number of counter -->
<td><a href="tokyo_20210608.html">tokyo_20210608.html</a></td>
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- make a new row and set counter = 0 -->
<!-- make a new cell with a link to the page and increase the number of counter -->
<td><a href="tokyo_20210615.html">tokyo_20210615.html</a></td>
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- make a new row and set counter = 0 -->
<!-- make a new cell with a link to the page and increase the number of counter -->
<td><a href="tokyo_20210622.html">tokyo_20210622.html</a></td>
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
</tr>
<!-- make a new row and set counter = 0 -->
<tr>
<!-- make a new cell with a link to the page and increase the number of counter -->
<td><a href="tokyo_20210629.html">tokyo_20210629.html</a></td>
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- make a new row and set counter = 0 -->
<!-- make a new cell with a link to the page and increase the number of counter -->
<td><a href="tokyo_20210706.html">tokyo_20210706.html</a></td>
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- make a new row and set counter = 0 -->
<!-- make a new cell with a link to the page and increase the number of counter -->
<td><a href="tokyo_20210713.html">tokyo_20210713.html</a></td>
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- make a new row and set counter = 0 -->
<!-- make a new cell with a link to the page and increase the number of counter -->
<td><a href="tokyo_20210720.html">tokyo_20210720.html</a></td>
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- make a new row and set counter = 0 -->
<!-- make a new cell with a link to the page and increase the number of counter -->
<td><a href="tokyo_20210727.html">tokyo_20210727.html</a></td>
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
</tr>
<!-- make a new row and set counter = 0 -->
<tr>
<!-- make a new cell with a link to the page and increase the number of counter -->
<td><a href="tokyo_20210803.html">tokyo_20210803.html</a></td>
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- make a new row and set counter = 0 -->
<!-- make a new cell with a link to the page and increase the number of counter -->
<td><a href="tokyo_20210810.html">tokyo_20210810.html</a></td>
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- make a new row and set counter = 0 -->
<!-- make a new cell with a link to the page and increase the number of counter -->
<td><a href="tokyo_20210817.html">tokyo_20210817.html</a></td>
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- make a new row and set counter = 0 -->
<!-- make a new cell with a link to the page and increase the number of counter -->
<td><a href="tokyo_20210824.html">tokyo_20210824.html</a></td>
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- make a new row and set counter = 0 -->
<!-- make a new cell with a link to the page and increase the number of counter -->
<td><a href="tokyo_20210831.html">tokyo_20210831.html</a></td>
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
</tr>
<!-- make a new row and set counter = 0 -->
<tr>
<!-- make a new cell with a link to the page and increase the number of counter -->
<td><a href="tokyo_20210914.html">tokyo_20210914.html</a></td>
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- make a new row and set counter = 0 -->
<!-- make a new cell with a link to the page and increase the number of counter -->
<td><a href="tokyo_20210928.html">tokyo_20210928.html</a></td>
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- make a new row and set counter = 0 -->
<!-- make a new cell with a link to the page and increase the number of counter -->
<td><a href="tokyo_20211012.html">tokyo_20211012.html</a></td>
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- make a new row and set counter = 0 -->
<!-- make a new cell with a link to the page and increase the number of counter -->
<td><a href="tokyo_20211102.html">tokyo_20211102.html</a></td>
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- make a new row and set counter = 0 -->
<!-- make a new cell with a link to the page and increase the number of counter -->
<td><a href="tokyo_20220111.html">tokyo_20220111.html</a></td>
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
</tr>
<!-- make a new row and set counter = 0 -->
<tr>
<!-- make a new cell with a link to the page and increase the number of counter -->
<td><a href="tokyo_20220118.html">tokyo_20220118.html</a></td>
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- make a new row and set counter = 0 -->
<!-- make a new cell with a link to the page and increase the number of counter -->
<td><a href="tokyo_20220125.html">tokyo_20220125.html</a></td>
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- make a new row and set counter = 0 -->
<!-- make a new cell with a link to the page and increase the number of counter -->
<td><a href="tokyo_20220208.html">tokyo_20220208.html</a></td>
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- make a new row and set counter = 0 -->
<!-- make a new cell with a link to the page and increase the number of counter -->
<td><a href="tokyo_20220215.html">tokyo_20220215.html</a></td>
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- make a new row and set counter = 0 -->
<!-- make a new cell with a link to the page and increase the number of counter -->
<td><a href="tokyo_20220222.html">tokyo_20220222.html</a></td>
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
</tr>
<!-- make a new row and set counter = 0 -->
<tr>
<!-- make a new cell with a link to the page and increase the number of counter -->
<td><a href="tokyo_20220301.html">tokyo_20220301.html</a></td>
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- make a new row and set counter = 0 -->
<!-- make a new cell with a link to the page and increase the number of counter -->
<td><a href="tokyo_20220308.html">tokyo_20220308.html</a></td>
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- make a new row and set counter = 0 -->
<!-- make a new cell with a link to the page and increase the number of counter -->
<td><a href="tokyo_20220315.html">tokyo_20220315.html</a></td>
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- make a new row and set counter = 0 -->
<!-- make a new cell with a link to the page and increase the number of counter -->
<td><a href="tokyo_20220322.html">tokyo_20220322.html</a></td>
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
<!-- make a new row and set counter = 0 -->
<!-- make a new cell with a link to the page and increase the number of counter -->
<td><a href="tokyo_latest.html">tokyo_latest.html</a></td>
<!-- if there are 5 cells in the row, close the row -->
</tr>
</table> –>
1. 東京での緊急事態宣言解除基準分析
(A) 基本シナリオ
 |
この図表のバックデータはここからダウンロードしてください。
出所: 著者達の計算による。
注: 左のパネルは、基本シナリオ下での新規感染者数の推移。黒の縦実線が現在時点、点線が緊急事態宣言解除が想定されている3月第1週。赤（青）い実線は緊急事態宣言解除基準が350（250）人だった場合、その他の細い点線は解除基準人数を変更した場合。右のパネルは、それぞれの解除基準人数によってどのように１年後の累計死亡者数と経済損失が影響を受けるかを示す。シナリオの詳細についてはFujii and Nakata (2021)を参照。
- この図をどのように理解すべきなのかは、この資料[感染症対策と経済活動の両立：コロナ危機終焉に向けて]と、この資料[緊急事態宣言解除基準分析の解説・モデル分析活用の心得]に詳細に記述してあります。
(B)「年度末気の緩み」シナリオ
 |
この図表のバックデータはここからダウンロードしてください。
出所: 著者達の計算による。
注: このシナリオでは3月22日から4月11日の3週間、実効再生産数が基本シナリオの1.3倍になることを仮定しています。
2. 東京での緊急事態宣言解除後の「経済促進ペース」分析
(A) 基本シナリオ
 |
この図表のバックデータはここからダウンロードしてください。
出所: 著者達の計算による。
- この図をどのように理解すべきなのかは、このページ[ここをクリック]の解説を参考にして下さい。
(B)「年度末気の緩み」シナリオ
 |
この図表のバックデータはここからダウンロードしてください。
出所: 著者達の計算による。
注: このシナリオでは3月22日から4月11日の3週間、実効再生産数が基本シナリオの1.3倍になることを仮定しています。
3. 東京でのワクチン接種仮定の影響分析
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この図表のバックデータはここからダウンロードしてください。
出所: 著者達の計算による。
- この図では、ワクチン接種の見通しがどのように東京での(1)感染者数の推移、(2)死亡者数と経済損失の関係に影響を与えるのかを示しています。3月第1週に現在の緊急事態宣言解除を仮定しています。
- 3つのワクチン接種仮定の詳細は、この資料[ここをクリック]をご覧ください。